Ray Kurzweil is one of the world’s leading inventors, thinkers, and futurists, with a stunning thirty-year track record of accurate predictions. He has received 20 honorary doctorates, has been awarded honors from three U.S. presidents, and has authored 7 books (5 of which have been national bestsellers). Ray is also the guy tagged by Larry Page to develop machine intelligence and natural language understanding at Google.
In a recent post, Peter Diamandis, Chairman and CEO of the X PRIZE Foundation shared a few of the predictions Ray Kurzweil has made for the next 25+ years. Those are the byproduct of Kurzweil’s understanding of the power of Moore’s Law and of exponential technologies. These technologies follow an exponential growth curve based on the principle that the computing power that enables them double every two years.
- “By the late 2010s, glasses will beam images directly onto the retina. Ten terabytes of computing power (roughly the same as the human brain) will cost about $1,000.”
- “By the 2020s, most diseases will go away as nanobots become smarter than current medical technology. Normal human eating can be replaced by nanosystems. The Turing test begins to be passable. Self-driving cars begin to take over the roads, and people won’t be allowed to drive on highways.”
- “By the 2030s, virtual reality will begin to feel 100% real. We will be able to upload our mind/consciousness by the end of the decade.”
- “By the 2040s, non-biological intelligence will be a billion times more capable than biological intelligence (a.k.a. us). Nanotech foglets will be able to make food out of thin air and create any object in physical world at a whim.”
- “By 2045, we will multiply our intelligence a billionfold by linking wirelessly from our neocortex to a synthetic neocortex in the cloud.”